Technological Surprise and Resilience in Military Systems


Resilience, organizational recovery, technological wonder, task effect *Corresponding writer: alexander.Kott1.Civ@mail.Mil Introduction This paper focuses on approaches to build resilience and benefit from it when a sudden unfavorable event arise. The precise hobby is in methods – preferably supported with the aid of historical proof of achievement – that could help an organization triumph over a full-size negative impact on its capacity to maintain its task. To make the discussions more concrete, the paper specializes in a selected class of destructive activities – technological surprises in battle. A technological wonder in warfare regularly unfolds as follows. One of the edges in an armed war (allow’s call that facet Red) introduces a weapon system that the opposite facet (let’s call it Blue) did no longer assume to see on the battlefield. The new weapon may also appreciably lessen the potential of Blue to combat Red. As a result, Blue may additionally revel in huge losses in personnel, system, territory, and many others. If Blue is sufficiently resilient, after a time frame it develops countermeasures – regularly a mixture what is affiliate marketing of latest methods and new technical approaches – that negate the effect of the brand new weapon and restore the initial ratio of talents between Red and Blue. Two generally used examples are (1) in the summertime of 1941, the advent of the Soviet T-34 tank which turned into almost invulnerable to the German tanks of the time and served as an unwelcome surprise to the Germans; and (2) additionally in 1941, the use of the German effective 88 mm Flak gun towards the improvised British tanks in North Africa. (Finkel & Tlamim, 2011) Next to the above description, and for the purpose of this paper, let’s define resilience because the potential of a navy employer to (a) keep away from complete destruction in face of technological wonder, after which to (b) get better and go back to powerful overall performance towards the adversary. This definition is constant with how resilience is described using the National Academies of Science (2012) and Executive Orders via each the Obama (The White House, 2013) and Trump Administrations. For observation of resilience, technological surprises are mainly convenient cases: the purpose (e.G., a new weapon), the consequences (the handicap and the losses), and the resiliency-restoring actions (countermeasures) are normally truly understood, nicely documented, and regularly even quantifiable. For many countries, the technological marvel is turning into a growing concern as era and science are spreading ever broader throughout the globe. While generally, this is a fairly welcome phenomenon, I U.S. Army Research Laboratory, Adelphi, Maryland, USA Suggested quotation: Kott, A. (2018). Technological marvel and resilience in navy structures.  Trump, B. D., Florin, M.-V., & Linkov, I. (Eds.). IRGC useful resource manual on resilience (vol. 2): Domains of resilience for complicated interconnected structures. Lausanne, CH: EPFL Global Risk Governance Center. Available on irgc.Epfl.Ch and irgc.Org. 2 the propagation of understanding about building state-of-the-art guns maintains to growth the range of states and non-country actors that could spring a technological surprise at given united states.

  The limits of hazard-primarily based tactics

 By their very nature, technological surprises are rarely amenable to danger-management methods. Risk-based strategies require the identification of risk, vulnerability, and results. The area of cutting-edge technologies is so wide and numerous that Red has almost unlimited possibilities to choose a selected study and development course and to build a singular powerful weapon machine. If Blue’s intelligence service fails to detect the improvement (a common prevalence), Blue has no way to know the character of the brand new Red weapon, and can't pursue any meaningful danger-mitigation techniques that would help in opposition to the destiny stumble upon with the but-unknown weapon. In theory, Blue may try to undertake a very extensive portfolio of R&D applications to investigate the capabilities and the countermeasures in opposition to all likely future Red guns. In exercise, such an exhaustive exploration and mitigation is unaffordable even for the wealthiest international locations. Therefore, resilience-based total approaches are probably to be much less steeply-priced than risk-primarily based strategies. Instead of (or perhaps similarly to) making an investment in a totally broad (and really costly) variety of mitigation mechanisms against an infinitely huge spectrum of feasible technological surprises, us of a might also opt to put money into talents and belongings that might enable resilient responses to an inevitable technological marvel. Although such investments are sizeable, they're maximum possibly to be substantially smaller than doubtlessly limitless spending on keeping off all feasible dangers.  READ MORE:-  lifebloombeauty

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